Posts Tagged ‘NFL wagering’

Superbowl Probabilities – Current Trends for the Big Game

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Super Bowl prospects post the Packers as 2-point favorites versus the Pittsburgh steelers with the total at 44.5.



What do recent trends tell us about the odds for Green Bay and Pittsburgh versus the Super Bowl gambling prospects at the online sportsbook?

Favorites Struggling
Several years ago the favorites did pretty well in the Super Bowl but since 1980 the favorites are only 19-11 straight up and a weak 12-16-2 versus the spread. The longshot has covered the last 3 Super Bowls, successful two of the 3 straight up. The public truly likes Green Bay in Super Bowl XLV but the recent trends point to taking the longshot Steelers. The Packers are the tenth distinct National Football Conference team to play in the Super Bowl in the past ten years. The Packers are the fourth team to win 3 consecutive road games and reach the Super Bowl. Two of the previous 3 won the Super Bowl. The Packers are the first number six seed from the National Football Conference to make it to the Super Bowl.

Point Totals
If Green Bay is put on to 30 points or fewer in the Super Bowl they are most likely in trouble. The last sixteen Super Bowl favorites to score 30 points or fewer are 2-14-1 versus the spread. Let’s go one step further with regards to the successful point total. If a team does not get to at least 21 points in the Super Bowl they almost never win. If a team does not get to at least 21 points in the Super Bowl they are 1-20 straight up in the last 21 Super Bowls and a putrid 3-17-1 versus the point spread. Clubs that get to 21 points or more have a very great chance of successful. With both Pittsburgh and Green Bay having fantastic defenses it looks very most likely that whoever gets to 21 points will win and cover Super Bowl XLV. Looking at the total, five of the last 6 Super Bowls have fallen under the total in Super Bowl prospects and if not for a late Pittsburgh TD two years ago it would be 6 back to back. This season’s total of 44.5 is the lowest we have seen in the Super Bowl since Super Bowl XXXVIII.

National Football Conference Advantage
In the prior 30 Super Bowls, the National Football Conference is 19-11 straight up and 18-10-2 ATS. It ought to be mentioned though that in the previous 13 Super Bowls that the National Football Conference is only 4-9 SU and 6-6-1 ATS. And this is the first time in the last nine seasons that the National Football Conference will likely be favored in the Super Bowl.


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Super Bowl Prospects Shifting for the Green Bay Packers

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For sports gambling enthusiasts, the Packers have been an unexpected all year.



Following nearly missing the playoffs at all, the squad has overcome Michael Vick and the Philadephia Eagles and longtime foes the Bears to make it to Super Bowl XLV. The Green Bay Packers began as a 1.5 point favorite and they are already up to a 2.5 point choice. Perhaps the line will go as high as three although it’s already tough to comprehend the logic. Pittsburgh has the leading ranked defense in football and they have the players to slow down Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay offense. The public though is just crazy about Green Bay and they have been right the past three weeks as Green Bay has won and covered on the road at Philadelphia, at Atlanta and at Chicago.

The Green Bay Packers and Steelers have been in the Super Bowl several times and the Super Bowl title is named following Green Bay coach Vince Lombardi who led the Green Bay Packers to victories in the 1st 2 Super Bowls. The Green Bay Packers have three Super Bowls victories and one loss in their four previous appearances. They won the 1st 2 Super Bowls and additionally won Super Bowl XXXI. They lost in Super Bowl XXXII. Pittsburgh has won the Super Bowl a record 6 times and they are going following their seventh. They’ve got merely lost one time in their previous seven appearances. They won four Super Bowls in the 1970′s and they additionally won following the 2005 and 2008 seasons.

Vegas has had no option but to make Green Bay the favored squad in this year’s Big Game, as the football squad has been paying off hard throughout the playoffs for the Green Bay Packers enthusiasts gambling on the playoff year games. The line has moved in the past 2 days following it was originally posted.

As the cash has been pouring into the Super Bowl odds, the Green Bay Packers are now moving toward a 3 point favorite in the Super Bowl odds. Point spreads are intended to be ever-changing based on the emotions and analysis of the clubs competing versus one another, but Green Bay has been especially skilled in creating victories that get the money this year.

So will the Green Bay Packers continue to attract the cash for the subsequent handful of weeks before the actual Big Game is performed? Whereas feasible, it shouldn’t be expected. The squad is arriving off a big win versus the Bears in the NFC championship match, but it was an unsightly win: the Bears lost their 1st string Qb, and the Green Bay Packers merely won by a touchdown. Can the Green Bay Packers genuinely battle against a powerful Pittsburgh steelers organization?

The squad has not improved dramatically just by reaching the Super Bowl, and defeating a injured Chicago squad by merely 7 points might not look good for Green Bay’s ultimate achievement. Community opinion is now with the Green Bay Packers, but it might modify pretty fast as sports book enthusiasts commence to analyze both clubs more closely.


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Super Bowl Gambling – Packers Start as Fave vs Pittsburgh steelers

You can see all the Superbowl odds at the on line sport book before the big game!

Superbowl XLV will have 2 teams with fabled traditions meeting at Cowboys Stadium in Arlington, Texas on Sunday, February 6th.



Gamblers that bet on Superbowl prospects are already gambling on the Packers as they are 2.5 point favorites at the sports book.

Green Bay -2.5, total 46
The Packers started off as a 1.5 point fave plus they are already up to a 2.5 point choice. Maybe the line will go as high as 3 even though it’s already difficult to recognize the logic. Pittsburgh has the leading ranked defense in pro football and they’ve the participants to slow down Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay offense. The community though is basically deeply in love with Green Bay and they’ve been right the past 3 weeks as Green Bay has won and covered on the road at Philadelphia, at Atlanta and at Chicago. So, as an alternative to an longshot from either division reaching the Superbowl this year, we get to watch 2 great teams struggle it out, despite their not having competed up to their full potentials in their previous games. And with all the excitement, distractions, and stress that come together with every year’s bowl match, can we expect either the Packers or the Steelers to play actually well?

Historical Superbowl Wagering Matchup
The Packers and Steelers have been in the Superbowl many times and the Superbowl championship is named following Green Bay coach Vince Lombardi who headed the Packers to victories in the 1st 2 Super Bowls. The Packers have 3 Super Bowls victories and one loss in their four previous appearances. They won the 1st 2 Super Bowls and also won Superbowl XXXI. They lost in Superbowl XXXII. Pittsburgh has won the Superbowl a record six times plus they are going following their seventh. They have only lost one time in their previous seven appearances. They won four Super Bowls in the 1970′s and they also won following the 2005 and 2008 seasons.

The Packers are the 10th distinct NFC team to play in the Superbowl in the past ten years. The Packers are the fourth team to win 3 consecutive road games and arrive at the Superbowl. 2 of the previous 3 won the Superbowl. The Packers are the 1st #6 seed from the NFC to make it to the Superbowl.

It is possible to bet on Superbowl prospects at the moment at the Sbg worldwide sports book so get your bets in on the biggest match of pro football year.


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NFC – You cant ever Guess Which Squad Will Get to the Super Bowl

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The one regularity in the National Football Conference division with regards to Super Bowl appearances is… well, the lack of regularity.



In the last decade, no team has made it to the Super Bowl twice in a row. Actually, in the past decade, no National Football Conference football team has made it to the Super Bowl twice, even in non-consecutive years. This can wreak havoc on preseason and postseason bets on which team will make it to the Major Competition in any given year.

The following is a post of the National Football Conference clubs that have made it to the Super Bowl in the 2000s:

St. Louis, 2001
Tampa Bay, 2002
Carolina, 2003
Philadelphia, 2004
Seattle, 2005
Chicago, 2006
New York (Giants), 2007
Arizona, 2008
New Orleans, 2009
Green Bay, 2010

With tons of great clubs in the National Football Conference, picking the winner of the division from year to year is almost extremely hard. Of course, there are also some pretty poor programs in the National Football Conference.

After all, does anyone actually expect the Lions to make it to the Super Bowl next year? They haven’t won just one postseason game in over a decade and a half. Just how much longer can the Lions’ 16-year playoff game losing streak continue? And even if they make it past the 1st round of the playoffs, who expects Detroit to take the Super Bowl in 2012?

Nevertheless, it could be the Falcons turn next year. Whereas the team can field a powerful offense, it is still a bit lacking in defense. If they can overcome this shortfall in their game in the course of the off-season, they could have a decent chance at playoff season accomplishment next year. Next year, the National Football Conference South could have a capable Atlanta team.

In the end, it could be among the more recent clubs that made a Super Bowl appearance that brings back to the big game in 2012. Can Green Bay win in 2011 and then repeat next year? Based on the National Football Conference pattern over the last decade, it looks more than a little uncertain. What we can expect from the National Football Conference division will probably be more surprises and unexpected clubs having accomplishment where it was never expected of them.

A lot of years ago the favorites did rather well in the Super Bowl but since 1980 the favorites are only 19-11 straight up and a poor 12-16-2 vs the spread. The underdog has covered the last three Super Bowls, profitable 2 of the three downright. The public actually likes Green Bay in Super Bowl XLV however the recent trends point to taking the underdog Steelers.


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Super Bowl Matchups Are Marked By Total Inconsistency

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The one consistency in the National Football Conference division when it comes to Super Bowl appearances is… well, the lack of consistency. In the past decade, no team has made it to the Super Bowl 2 times back to back. In reality, in the last decade, no National Football Conference football team has made it to the Super Bowl 2 times, even in non-consecutive years. This can wreak chaos on preseason and postseason wagers on which team will make it to the Big Game in any given season.



The following is a checklist of the National Football Conference clubs that have managed to get to the Super Bowl in the 2000s:

St. Louis, 2001
Tampa Bay, 2002
Carolina, 2003
Philadelphia, 2004
Seattle, 2005
Chicago, 2006
New York (Giants), 2007
Arizona, 2008
New Orleans, 2009
Green Bay, 2010

With tons of great clubs in the National Football Conference, picking the winner of the division from year to year is practically extremely hard. Obviously, additionally, there are some fairly negative programs in the National Football Conference.

In fact, does anybody genuinely expect the Lions to make it to the Super Bowl next year? They haven’t won just one postseason game in over 10 years and a half. Simply how much longer can the Lions’ 16-year playoff game losing streak continue? And even if they make it past the first round of the playoffs, who expects Detroit to take the Super Bowl in 2012?

Nevertheless, it may be the Falcons turn next year. Whereas the team can field a powerful offense, it’s still somewhat lacking in defense. If they might get over this shortfall in their game during the off-season, they may have a good chance at Playoff Season achievement next year. Next year, the National Football Conference South may have a skilled Atlanta team.

In the long run, it may be among the more recent clubs that made a Super Bowl appearance that returns to the major game in 2012. Can Green Bay win in 2011 and then repeat next year? Based on the National Football Conference trend over the last decade, it seems more than a little doubtful. What we can expect from the National Football Conference division will most likely be more surprises and unpredicted clubs having achievement where it was never expected of them.


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Super Bowl Is Going To Offer Two Powerful Teams Even with Ugly Matches

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The history of the nfl playoffs is littered with unpleasant matches, but the victors of an adequate amount of those matches often make it to the Super Bowl. But in 2011, both the AFC and National Football Conference division championships were won by good teams playing unpleasant matches against long shots that practically beat them. The Green Bay Packers and Pittsburgh steelers made it, correct, but neither squad performed remarkably well this past weekend.



And that can mean difficulties for either team’s odds to win the Super Bowl. In the 2nd half of the National Football Conference division championship, the Chicago Bears practically came back from being down by 14 points to take the Packers’ place in the Super Bowl. If Chicago Bears Qb Cutler had been in the game the whole time, we could have been looking forward to a Steelers-Bears matchup.

The Pittsburgh steelers didn’t do much better in their division championship game against the Jets. The Jets and the Pittsburgh steelers were pretty evenly matched, but New York came out playing like they didn’t feel they belonged in the Super Bowl. Being down 24 points in the 2nd half, the squad engineered a impressive comeback, but it was just short of putting them on top of the game.

So, as opposed to an underdog from either division making it to the Super Bowl this year, we get to watch two good teams battle it out, in spite of their not having performed up to their full potentials in their prior matches. And with all the exhilaration, distractions, and stress that come as well as every year’s bowl game, can we expect either the Green Bay Packers or the Pittsburgh steelers to play truly well?

If one squad or the other had crushed their foes last week and decisively taken either the AFC or the National Football Conference championship, it could be simpler to guess with squad would win the Super Bowl. But with both teams coming off pretty unpleasant 2nd quarters that can have cost either squad their chance at Super Bowl fame at all, picking a fave becomes far more challenging.

Currently, sports book prospects are leaning toward the Green Bay Packers as the slight fave to win in 2011.


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The Jets versus the Steelers

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Week 3 of football playoff year is the Conference Championships, and the AFC will be a struggle of the simply 2 remaining teams in the racing, the New York Jets and the Pittsburgh steelers.



The winner of this Sunday’s matchup with take home the AFC Champ championship as well as a place in the February sixth Super Bowl XLV in Dallas, Texas. The Pittsburgh steelers ended the regular season at the top of the AFC North with a 12-4 record, however the New York Jets are arriving from a major win last weekend when they knocked Drew Brees and the New england patriots out of the Super Bowl racing. Mark Sanches threw three td passes along with the Jets sacking Brady a total of 5 times in the game, which was the most surprising upset of the Divisional Championships. New York directed its fierce rival, 14-3, at halftime before Brady’s 2-yard td pass to Alge Crumpler and Sammy Morris’ run for a two-point conversion made it 14-11 late in the third quarter. But Sanchez came right back with a 7-yard scoring pass to Santonio Holmes and New York ended the upset with Greene’s td. The Jets ended 11-5-0 in the regular season, putting them in 2nd place in the AFC East as they charged the post year.

The Pittsburgh steelers are showed in Sports book as the minus 3.5 point favorites for this Sunday’s matchup. The total over under is showed at 38.5.

New York now advances to the AFC Championship game on Sunday versus the Pittsburgh steelers. The Jets will be longshots in Nfl gambling lines in that game but following beating the Patriots, New York is a pretty self-confident squad. Week 3 of football playoff year is the Conference Championships, and the AFC will be a struggle of the simply 2 remaining teams in the racing, the New York Jets and the Pittsburgh steelers.

The Pittsburgh steelers took down the Baltimore Ravens last Saturday in the Divisional Playoffs at 31-24. For the first thirty minutes, both units might share the blame for the 14-point deficit. Pittsburgh’s defense gave up a 68-yard drive and permitted 2 third-down conversions in the course of another td march. The offense dedicated 2 turnovers, including a fumble by Roethlisberger that Baltimore defensive end Cory Redding turned into a score. This was their first game of this years’ playoff year, as they won a bye week in Wild Card Weekend, because of holding the top record int eh AFC North at 12-4-0. This is going to be the Steelers’ 15th AFC Championship Championship game. When gambling on football keep in mind that next weekend’s game will the 2nd time these 2 teams have played, the first arriving in week 15.


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Super Bowl Probabilities – New England Patriots Have Mass Appeal

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Superbowl prospects are favoring the red hot New England Patriots to go all the way up and claim the Vince Lombardi Trophy and the majority of the Superbowl wagering community agrees.



Superbowl prospects handicappers look at the New England Patriots to be the most impressive squad on the board and a complete Superbowl wagering asset. The New England Patriots are flying under the radar for a alter, but they still have Tom Brady and Randy Moss, but last season revealed they need a healthy Wes Welker, who’s recovering from a huge knee injury.

New England comes into the post season with a record of 14-2 straight up and 10-5-1 vs the spread. The New England Patriots won their final 8 games of the season while receiving the cash 6 times as they won the AFC East going away and will have home turf edge throughout the AFC playoffs.

Following last year’s 33-14 home playoff loss to the Baltimore Ravens the New England Patriots decided to build up, particularly on defense where they were manhandled. The massive lineup overhaul made them an afterthought as a Superbowl betting preseason favorite as the New York Jets were the hot asset on the gambling odds board.

The defense had trouble for almost all of the 1st half of the season before hitting its stride in the season’s second half and it climbed rapidly up the ranks as Bill Belichick reminded everyone why he is the premier coach in pro football. New England finished up a really impressive 8th in pro football for points granted.

On offense nobody was a lot better than the New England Patriots as they concluded greatest in pro football for scoring offense as quarterback Tom Brady took to his Superbowl credentials with a Hall of Fame season as he concluded 66% of his passes for 3900 yards and 7.9 yards per pass try. Brady had an almost unfathomable 36/4 touchdown to interception ratio.

The New England Patriots can do over pass however as BenJarvus Green-Ellis had 1008 yards and a 4.4 yards per carry average with 13 touchdowns to make the New England Patriots one of the most balanced squads proceeding into action with pro football Superbowl prospects.

The one area of concern for the New England Patriots is the ability of the receiving corps to smash away as foremost receiver Wes Welker had 86 catches for 848 yards but only 9.9 yards per catch average with 7 touchdowns.

Special teams are yet another New England edge with the Superbowl prospects as Brandon Tate ran 2 kickoffs back for touchdowns and had a 25.8 yards per return average.


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Sportsbook – Titans say Adios to Vince Young

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The Tennessee titans were a failure this past season both straight up and against the sports book online lines at the sports book.



Owner Bud Adams has made some adjustments, the 1st of which is gaining rid of quarterback Vince Young. The Titans decided that they might not keep both Young and head coach Jeff Fisher so it was Young who got the pink slide. With the season coming to a close for the Philadelphia Eagles at the hands of the Packers on Sunday, it should come as no surprise that anointed Eagles starter-turned-backup Kevin Kolb is seeking a trade from the simply professional franchise he has ever known.

Coach-Quarterback Controversy
It was obvious to everyone except Adams that Young and Fisher might not co-exist. Adams thought that things may very well be worked out but there was no denying that this season would be the last for one of them with Tennessee. Adams was convinced by general manager Mike Reinfeldt and executive VP/general counsel Steve Underwood that Young had to go. Adams had been a supporter of Young since the squad drafted him in 2006 but after his antics this season it was hard to come to his defense. Adams learned that Young was a divisive influence in the locker room and not a player that individuals might help. Young had about 4 or five participants who supported him but the rest wanted him out. It was so poor that several participants could have requested a trade if the squad had kept Young. Plenty of participants claimed that Young still was not even effective at calling plays in the huddle and that he wouldn’t do the work necessary to be an excellent Nfl quarterback. It is extensively known that Adams demanded that the squad select Young back in 2006 although several in the organization did not think it was a solid decision.

Fisher Very likely to Return
The Titans are most likely not going to make a coaching change now that Young is gone. Fisher is very respected around the league and would be offered a position in an instantaneous if the Titans let him go. Adams furthermore does not want to make a coaching change with each of the labor uncertainty facing the league next season. Fisher has one year left on his current deal. Now that Young is out it’s nearly a given that Fisher will return next year. Tennessee slipped to 6-10 this past Nfl sports book season but several individuals around the league think the Titans only need an excellent starting quarterback to be in the playoffs next season. Tennessee was 8-8 this season against the sports book online Nfl lines at the sports book.


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NFL Prospects – Wild Card Playoff Trends

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There are 4 matches on the board in Nfl odds for this weekend’s Wild Card playoff competition.



Let’s have a look at the nfl probabilities at SBG and the trends for each of the 4 matches.

Saturday, January 8th
Saints -10.5 at Seattle Seahawks
The Saints are 5-2 ATS in their previous seven versus the NFC. The Saints are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 matches as a road favorite. The Saints are 1-8 ATS versus a team with a losing record. The Seattle Seahawks are 2-5 ATS in their previous seven matches in total. The Seattle Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their past 6 matches as an longshot. If you’re looking at the total then keep in mind that the Over is 5-1-1 in the Saints previous seven playoff matches and the Over is 8-1 in the Seattle Seahawks previous 9 matches in total.

Indianapolis Colts -2.5 versus Jets
The Jets are 4-1 ATS in their previous five matches in January. The Jets are 10-4 ATS in their previous 14 road matches. The Jets are 11-5 ATS in their past sixteen matches as an longshot. The Indianapolis Colts are 2-5 ATS in their previous seven matches as a favorite. The Indianapolis Colts are 1-4 ATS in their previous five home matches. When it comes to the total, the Over is 6-0 in the Jets past 6 matches as an longshot. The Over is 13-3-1 in the Jets previous 17 road matches. The Over is 5-1-1 in the Indianapolis Colts previous seven matches in total. The Over is 4-0 in the last 4 matchups in Indianapolis between the 2 teams.

Sunday, January 9th
Baltimore Ravens -3 at Chiefs
The Baltimore Ravens are 4-1-1 in Nfl probabilities in their past 6 road matches. The Baltimore Ravens are 7-3 ATS in their previous 10 playoff road matches. The Chiefs are 7-2 ATS in their previous 9 matches as an longshot. The Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 playoff matches. Looking at the total, the Under is 6-2 in the Baltimore Ravens last 8 matches as a road favorite. The Under is 10-4-1 in the Baltimore Ravens previous fifteen road matches. The Under is 4-1 in the Chiefs previous five matches in total.

Philadelphia Eagles -2.5 versus Green Bay Packers
The Green Bay Packers are 4-1 in Nfl odds in their previous five matches as a road longshot. The Green Bay Packers are 1-3-1 ATS in their previous five playoff road matches. The Philadelphia Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their previous five matches as a favorite. Looking at the total, the Under is 7-1 in the Green Bay Packers last 8 road matches. The Under is 5-1-1 in the Philadelphia Eagles previous seven playoff matches as a favorite. The Under is 5-1 in the past 6 matchups in Philadelphia between the 2 teams.


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