Superbowl Probabilities – Current Trends for the Big Game
Tuesday, February 1st, 2011Place your Super Bowl bets in online betting~sport betting~betting online today!
Super Bowl prospects post the Packers as 2-point favorites versus the Pittsburgh steelers with the total at 44.5.
What do recent trends tell us about the odds for Green Bay and Pittsburgh versus the Super Bowl gambling prospects at the online sportsbook?
Favorites Struggling
Several years ago the favorites did pretty well in the Super Bowl but since 1980 the favorites are only 19-11 straight up and a weak 12-16-2 versus the spread. The longshot has covered the last 3 Super Bowls, successful two of the 3 straight up. The public truly likes Green Bay in Super Bowl XLV but the recent trends point to taking the longshot Steelers. The Packers are the tenth distinct National Football Conference team to play in the Super Bowl in the past ten years. The Packers are the fourth team to win 3 consecutive road games and reach the Super Bowl. Two of the previous 3 won the Super Bowl. The Packers are the first number six seed from the National Football Conference to make it to the Super Bowl.
Point Totals
If Green Bay is put on to 30 points or fewer in the Super Bowl they are most likely in trouble. The last sixteen Super Bowl favorites to score 30 points or fewer are 2-14-1 versus the spread. Let’s go one step further with regards to the successful point total. If a team does not get to at least 21 points in the Super Bowl they almost never win. If a team does not get to at least 21 points in the Super Bowl they are 1-20 straight up in the last 21 Super Bowls and a putrid 3-17-1 versus the point spread. Clubs that get to 21 points or more have a very great chance of successful. With both Pittsburgh and Green Bay having fantastic defenses it looks very most likely that whoever gets to 21 points will win and cover Super Bowl XLV. Looking at the total, five of the last 6 Super Bowls have fallen under the total in Super Bowl prospects and if not for a late Pittsburgh TD two years ago it would be 6 back to back. This season’s total of 44.5 is the lowest we have seen in the Super Bowl since Super Bowl XXXVIII.
National Football Conference Advantage
In the prior 30 Super Bowls, the National Football Conference is 19-11 straight up and 18-10-2 ATS. It ought to be mentioned though that in the previous 13 Super Bowls that the National Football Conference is only 4-9 SU and 6-6-1 ATS. And this is the first time in the last nine seasons that the National Football Conference will likely be favored in the Super Bowl.
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